Has the housing market hit bottom yet? In this week’s edition of The Economist magazine THIS ARTICLE was was published which points to a lot of encouraging evidence that would suggest we may be at bottom. Here are some excerpts:
*”House-ownership is beginning to look more affordable by many measures. Adjusted for inflation, prices are close to their long-term trend after the bubble years of the 1990s and the first years of the 2000s. And the ratio of house prices to rents has returned to its pre-bubble level (see chart).”
*”Vacancies for apartments tumbled in the first quarter of the year and are now at a three-year low. Rents have been rising, and analysts expect them to increase by over 4% this year and next. Rent rises typically support house prices by making home-ownership more attractive.”
*”The credit markets are healing. Mortgage borrowing actually rose in the first quarter, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. New foreclosures were 17.7% lower in the first quarter than they had been at the end of 2010, and household delinquency improved for a fifth consecutive quarter. Mortgage rates have fallen back to historic lows, tracking declines in yields on American government bonds.”
*”Perhaps the best news for housing has come from the labour market. The economy added over 200,000 jobs in each of the past three months and over 1.3m jobs in the past year. A better job market enables struggling households to make mortgage payments, reducing foreclosures. For most of the bust, borrowers that fell behind on their loans were likely to end up in serious difficulties. In the first quarter of this year, for the first time since 2007, more mortgage borrowers caught up with their payments than fell further behind.”